North Korea

Chinese President Xi Jinping wrapped a two-day state visit to Pyongyang (June 8-9), his first to North Korea in nearly seven years, reaffirming the alliance and pledging deeper cooperation in trade, agriculture, technology and military-strategic coordination. Notably, Xi made no public mention of North Korea's nuclear program, and Beijing declined to echo Washington's claim from the recent Trump-Xi summit that denuclearization is a shared goal—prompting analysts to suggest China is tacitly accepting a nuclear North Korea. Kim Jong Un described ties with China as his country's 'most important and primary strategic undertaking,' signaling an effort to rebalance between Beijing and Moscow. In response, the US used bilateral talks with Japan (the Extended Deterrence Dialogue in Tokyo) and the IAEA Board to reaffirm its commitment to 'complete denuclearization,' explicitly rejecting Russian assertions that the issue is 'closed.'

The visit signals a deliberate Chinese effort to reassert influence over Pyongyang after North Korea drifted toward Russia—supplying troops and munitions for the Ukraine war in exchange for military technology. Beijing's silence on denuclearization, days after Pyongyang unveiled a new bomb-fuel plant and vowed to expand its arsenal 'exponentially,' marks a potential shift away from China's longstanding support for UN sanctions and toward open acquiescence to a nuclear-armed neighbor. This reshapes the strategic balance on the Korean Peninsula and deepens the emerging China-Russia-North Korea alignment against US-led Asia-Pacific security architecture.