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Taiwan

Taiwan fires HIMARS toward strait for first time as US report assesses PLA invasion plans; stocks plunge

Taiwan's military conducted a live-fire drill firing US-supplied HIMARS rockets into the Taiwan Strait for the first time, using "shoot-and-scoot" mobile launchers alongside 155mm howitzers to rehearse repelling a Chinese assault. The exercise coincided with a new US congressional report assessing that the PLA has built substantial capabilities for invading Taiwan, though success is not assured, and Foreign Affairs official Wu Chih-chung warned European media that a Chinese attack would have global consequences. Beijing's Taiwan Affairs Office sharply criticized the ruling DPP for pushing cross-strait "economic decoupling," calling it "foolish," while touting 4.89 million Taiwanese visits to the mainland in 2025. On the economy, the TAIEX fell sharply intraday—down over 800 points and below 43,000—amid five days of foreign outflows, with TSMC and MediaTek hit hard. Separately, Taiwan resumed pork product exports for the first time since regaining "three-disease-free" status, shipping sausages to Singapore.

Why it matters

The first HIMARS live-fire toward the strait signals Taiwan's shift to an asymmetric "porcupine" deterrence strategy backed by US arms, even as Washington has reportedly paused a larger package of 82 additional systems. The simultaneous US congressional assessment of PLA invasion readiness underscores how central the Taiwan flashpoint remains to US-China rivalry and global security, given the island's dominance of advanced semiconductor manufacturing.

🔎 Ground signal

Local financial attention is dominated by the steep market selloff and record foreign-investor outflows, framed against external shocks (US-Iran tensions, Fed meeting). State media framing diverges sharply: Russia's RT and China's Global Times spotlight the missile drill and cross-strait tourism to portray DPP policy as reckless and isolating.

Country basics

Population
23.3M
Capital
Taipei
Currency
TWD
Head of state
Lai Ching-te
Government
democracy

Taiwan, officially the Republic of China, is a vibrant multiparty democracy whose central geopolitical reality is the unresolved sovereignty dispute with the People's Republic of China, which claims the island and has not renounced the use of force to achieve unification. Governed under a semi-presidential system, it is currently led by President Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party, which tends to emphasize Taiwan's distinct identity, while the opposition Kuomintang favors warmer cross-strait ties. Though formally recognized by only a small number of states due to Beijing's diplomatic pressure, Taiwan maintains deep unofficial relations with the United States—its key security backer—and partners such as Japan. Readers should watch cross-strait tensions, the U.S.-China rivalry, and Taiwan's pivotal role in global technology supply chains as the central fault lines.

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